Gross Domestic Product
GDP
The total monetary value of all finished goods and services produced within a country in a specific time period.
GDP growth rates tracked in AJG intelligence: India (6-7%), EU (1-2%), UAE (4%), USA (2-3%).
Trade Balance
The difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services.
India has a trade surplus with EU (~USD 24B) and USA, and a significant deficit with China (~USD 85B).
Current Account Deficit
CAD
When a country's total imports of goods, services, and transfers exceed total exports.
India's CAD is monitored by RBI. Large deficits put pressure on INR exchange rate.
Foreign Direct Investment
FDI
Investment made by a firm or individual in one country into business interests in another country.
India received USD 71B FDI in FY2023. EU is a major FDI source into India — key for India-EU FTA investment chapter.
Exchange Rate
FX
The price at which one currency can be exchanged for another.
INR/EUR and INR/USD exchange rates are critical for India-EU trade pricing and margin management.
Purchasing Power Parity
PPP
A method of comparing economic productivity and living standards between countries by adjusting for price levels.
India is the world's 3rd largest economy by PPP — important context for India-EU market size comparisons.
Inflation
CPI
The rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power.
Indian CPI (~5%) and EU CPI (~2-3%) affect relative competitiveness of Indian exports.
SOFR
SOFR
Secured Overnight Financing Rate — the replacement for USD LIBOR in US dollar-denominated financial contracts.
Indian PCFC pricing now references SOFR instead of USD LIBOR.
EURIBOR
EURIBOR
Euro Interbank Offered Rate — benchmark rate for EUR-denominated contracts replacing EUR LIBOR.
EURIBOR is the reference rate for EUR-denominated trade finance and EU buyer credit arrangements.
Hedging
A risk management strategy using financial instruments to offset potential losses from price or exchange rate movements.
Indian exporters to EU should hedge EUR/INR exposure using RBI-permitted forward contracts.
Forward Contract
An agreement to buy or sell a specific foreign currency amount at a predetermined rate on a specific future date.
Indian exporters use forward contracts with Indian banks to hedge EUR/USD receivables from EU buyers.
Trade Facilitation
The simplification, standardisation, and harmonisation of international trade procedures.
WTO Trade Facilitation Agreement (2017) reduces average customs processing time by 47%. India has implemented TFA commitments.
Trade Diversion
When an FTA causes imports to shift from a more efficient non-member to a less efficient member due to tariff preferences.
India-EU FTA may divert some EU textile imports from Vietnam/Bangladesh to India when India-EU FTA enters force.
Trade Creation
When an FTA causes trade to replace less efficient domestic production with cheaper imports from member countries.
India-EU FTA trade creation expected in pharma, engineering, agro-food — replacing EU's costlier domestic production.
Balance of Payments
BoP
A statement of all economic transactions between residents of a country and the rest of the world.
India's BoP position is monitored by RBI. Trade in goods, services, remittances, and FDI are key components.
Credit Rating
An assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower — country, corporate, or financial instrument.
Indian corporates with Moody's, S&P, or Fitch credit ratings access cheaper EU bank trade finance.
Natural Hedge
An investment or transaction that reduces a currency or price risk by being naturally offsetting in structure.
Indian exporters with EUR costs and EUR revenues have a natural hedge against EUR/INR volatility.
Transfer Pricing
The practice of setting prices for transactions between related entities in different countries.
Transfer pricing between Indian parent and EU subsidiary must be at arm's length for customs valuation and tax purposes.